DISQUS

AMERICAblog: Krugman: "The prospects for the economy look much grimmer now than they did as little as a week or two ago"

  • 1000turtles · 1 year ago
    I am officially fascinated by the Bush/Ozymandius parallels.
  • Steve_in_CNJ · 1 year ago
    "Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!
    Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
    Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare
    The lone and level sands stretch far away."
  • SteamingPile · 1 year ago
    So it's probably just as well Congress adjourned. "Show us the plan, and we'll show you the money," Pelosi says. Good for her. It had better be a really good plan, or we may as well hold our collective breath until 1/20. I would say it's a small bit better than just handing the auto industry a pile of cash to do with what they please.
  • John Aravosis · 1 year ago
    I met a traveller from an antique land
    Who said: Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
    Stand in the desert. Near them on the sand,
    Half sunk, a shatter'd visage lies, whose frown
    And wrinkled lip and sneer of cold command
    Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
    Which yet survive, stamp'd on these lifeless things,
    The hand that mock'd them and the heart that fed.
    And on the pedestal these words appear:
    "My name is Ozymandias, king of kings:
    Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!"
    Nothing beside remains: round the decay
    Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare,
    The lone and level sands stretch far away.
  • Webster · 1 year ago
    -- Percy Bysshe Shelley
  • Webster · 1 year ago
    (Just in case anyone was wondering who the author was. I'm a stickler for attribution.)
  • Soundboy_jeff_meanie · 1 year ago
    I thought it was Sid Vicious... thanks for the attribution :-)
  • Bubbles · 1 year ago
    "Tell us what you've seen
    Far away in forgotten lands,
    Where empires have turned back to sand." - The Moody Blues, "Lovely to see you." from "On the Threshold of a Dream"
  • Rufus · 1 year ago
    George W. Bush, sigh. Determined to destroy America as he sneaks out the back door to Paraguay. I'm so sorry he will never be brought to justice. But, maybe we can at least make him a non-person by deleting every trace of him ever existing. Every reference to the 43rd President simply a blank space. There's your legacy George.
  • paulbot5 · 1 year ago
    I would worry about inflation not deflation
  • Forty2 · 1 year ago
    You SHOULD worry about deflation, unless you don't care about your income.
  • MaudGonne · 1 year ago
    Fisher was an economist who lost a fortune in the stock market collapse of October 1929, after famously declaring “stock prices had reached a permanently high plateau” just the month before. When the downturn hit he turned his talent to the underlying mechanisms of the crisis. In 1933, he wrote a paper titled the Debt-Deflation Theories of Great Depressions (reproduced by the St. Louis Fed) that feels as if it could have been written yesterday.
    http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2008/11/20/whats...
  • Bubbles · 1 year ago
    There's is this business about the missing $5 trillion (or there abouts, giver or take $2 trillion)

    Bush pushed that much money from the demand side to the supply side. That, after 20 years of flat wages for workers while the GNP has more than doubled.

    Until that $5 trillion gets put back there's no traction for the economy.

    Concentration of wealth is like standing up in a canoe - it's prone to sudden epic collapses.

    Witness the collapse of: Rome, Ancient Egypt's New Kingdome, Pre-Islamic Mecca, Byzantium in the 50 years before the Seljuk Turks at Manzikurt. medieval Japan, Hapsbourg Spain, Bourbon France, Romanov Russia, Coolidge/Hoover America, and now Subprime-Bush.

    I'm not sure what the historical case for supply-side economics is, but the case against it is devastating and disturbing: a destroyer of worlds and civilizations, and mother of all dark ages.
  • MaudGonne · 1 year ago
    Their estimate for the unemployment rate — reported at 6.5% in October — is now 9% by the end of next year, up from the earlier 8.5% forecast, with continued increases in 2010. “This forecast, if correct, makes the current recession unequivocally the worst single downturn on record since World War II insofar as increases in joblessness are concerned, and it raises the prospect that this recession could eventually exceed the five-point cumulative increase posted during the double-dip recessions of 1980 and 1981-1982 combined,” the Goldman economists say.
    http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2008/11/21/washi...
  • brb915 · 1 year ago
    Makes me just want to beat the red s**t out of him with a stick. Is he effing serious about a library? That would be the #1 location worldwide for daily protest----would make the park across from the WHite House a park again. Do us a favor somebody--anybody---tie him up to a chair and tape his mouth shut so he doesn't do any more harm. Laura can run the gov'mt 9 to 5 style 'til 1/20/09
  • Indigo · 1 year ago
    In that case, bring back Prohibition, flappers, and the Charleston!
  • MaudGonne · 1 year ago
    Q: Lower prices sound good. Why is deflation bad?
    A: Any price instability is not good for the economy. The pattern of falling prices is hard to stop because it feeds on itself, similar to spiraling inflation. Look at the housing market: As prices decline, would-be buyers are putting off purchases in hopes of getting a better discount later, and that drop in demand can lower prices further. During deflationary periods, companies taking in less money react by slowing production and cutting jobs, which causes consumers to scale back spending even more.
    http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/us/AP-Meltdown-...

    Why people shorting stock make money....
  • Dave of the Jungle · 1 year ago
    Dubya's ridiculous nincompoopery is surpassed only by his hideous core of pathological malevolence.
  • Soundboy_jeff_meanie · 1 year ago
    ya know... I'm not an economist, I can't even live month to month without being overdrawn at least once... but it still amazes me that I could see the interconnectedness of the housing market, Wall St., big industry and the general GDP before the housing bubble burst.

    everyone seemed to be saying 'big deal, housing prices are too expensive and they need to level off'... the whole economy is connected, the housing market crash rolled over into everything else.

    if you don't think that's connected to the big 3 going under (yeah, I know they made a TON of stupid moves... but life would've gone on if the rest of the economy wasn't crashing around them) you're not looking at the big picture. I'm picturing this giant plughole in my mind... everything swirling into it.

    if the big 3 go under, what'll happen to WHOLE CITIES that rely on them? the general consensus seems to be, as it was when the housing market crashed, 'move where the jobs/cheaper houses are'. you're talking about taking 80% of the population of Detroit and telling them to move elswhere? who buys their houses, retired people with a cold weather fetish? if nobody buys their property, who supports the small businesses in the area?

    so you wind up with entire cities going under... what happens to the companies that make products they buy with that extra bit of cash they used to have?

    Companies like HP, Xerox, Intel, Verizon, etc... their clients aren't ALL overseas or big businesses. If nobody has money (or even a job), who buys these products? fewer and fewer people OR companies.

    which causes even the largest companies to downsize... more firings... even less money flowing into the economy.

    I always thought shipping jobs overseas was a REALLY bad idea... now I see that it was really just large companies planning for their retirement, from being headquartered in the US.

    Obama has ideas.... but I'm starting to think he's still four years too late.
  • truebluecoondog · 1 year ago
    Last night on South Carolina Educational Television I watched a program on how to make a still. Alot of information from beginning to end. The old coot doing it was a 3rd generation bootlegger. I'm thinkin'.....not such a bad thing to know.
  • medium lebowski · 1 year ago
    Tragically, the inscription on the buried statue could read "Bring me your tired, your poor . . . "
  • Soundboy_jeff_meanie · 1 year ago
    "Bring me your tired, your hungry, your poor... I'll piss on 'em, that's what the statue of bigotry says." - Lou Reed
  • red_dwarf · 1 year ago
    I think historically the transition period is based on how long it takes a horse and bugy to travel in the late 18th century. Mabye this time period should be compressed a bit.

    We argued on the blogs back in 2001 that the Bush Crime Dynasty's plan was to (1) prophet from War, (2) drain the Treasury, (3) lower the value of the dollar (to reduce the value of debt, including ballooning the trade deficit) and (4) trash the economy (through theft, etc). Looks like they did just that.

    Everything going according to plan. We should start a database on all those from the Bush era who leave the country, where they go and how much they take with them. With the Bush pardons and the spineless Dems in charge no worries that anyone will be held accountable.
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    OT video blogging: "End Don't Ask / Don't Tell"
  • John Aravosis · 1 year ago
    Wow you may be the first person to insert a video here. I've never tried it - did you just hit the record video comment button?
  • John Aravosis · 1 year ago
    Okay this is pretty cool
  • John Aravosis · 1 year ago
    Okay this is totally cool. I can't believe I didnt' try this before. You can, like in 2 seconds, record a video reply as a comment. This is cool. Some friends of mine actually created this company, Seesmic, I can't believe I haven't tried this before (I'm a bad friend). It's quite easy, just hit reply and then click "record video comment" - you don't need register, just hit the anonymous button and record. This is actually pretty cool
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Hey John:

    The Video Record button didn't work when I tried it after the switch over to Disqus, but somehow Disqus / Seesmic worked out the bugs and voila! it now works. I'm quite honored I was the first to video blog on Americablog!
  • Steve_in_CNJ · 1 year ago
    with some powerful messages, delivered well.
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    blushing... thanks Steve!
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Also, if I'm not mistaken, I think Americablog is the first major blog to ever offer video blogging. You've broken new ground and made Internet History again, John Aravosis!
  • KerrynowCampau · 1 year ago
    I always wondered about that Video Comment button. Just thought I wasn't around when someone left one.

    Way to go cowboyneok for taking the plunge!
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Thanks "KerrynowCampau"

    In fact, my first video blogging was re: Prop 8 march. I was just playing around and clicked on the video link and it WORKED!

    http://www.americablog.com/2008/11/saturday-mor...

    http://www.americablog.com/2008/11/saturday-mor...
  • KerrynowCampau · 1 year ago
    Hopefully more people will start doing that. I would love to see more of the faces behind the comments.

    I, however, don't have a video camera :-(
  • kh7463 · 1 year ago
    Me neither :-(
  • MaudGonne · 1 year ago
    Fei Ye, a U.S. citizen, and Ming Zhong, a permanent resident of the U.S., admitted in 2006 that they stole computer chip designs from their Silicon Valley employers and tried to smuggle the secrets to China to launch a government-backed startup there. The engineers each face a maximum of 30 years in prison.
    http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/business/AP-TEC...
  • MaudGonne · 1 year ago
    Chinese Democracy sure has its moments. Few but the most devoted fans must have dared hope for the sort of exhilarating abandon flagged up by the chorus of Shackler’s Revenge or the airless subterranean portent of the title track.
    http://entertainment.timesonline.co.uk/tol/arts...
  • Older_Wiser · 1 year ago
    Scared? Shitless.

    The city manager of Detroit is claiming that if something isn't done about unemployment in MI and the Big 3, he expects riots, people preying on people, etc. Reported on MSNBC this am.

    Don't think people in other areas haven't talked about the same thing, though. We are constantly having thefts from cars, houses, etc. around here. Desperate times, indeed. This won't be like the Great Depression when you just had the Bonnie & Clyde types, you know, the professional bank robbers. It's an entirely new era, where you wouldn't dare invite a strange rail hopper looking for work into your home for a meal. And everyone around here has guns...(we have a large stick and dogs...)
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Just remember: This was brought to you courtesy of Bu$hco. and Republicans who wanted to kill and drowned big government in a bath tub. Not much fun when the Republicans plans succeed beyond their wildest imagination, huh?
  • Older_Wiser · 1 year ago
    Exactly! It will always be the Bush Depression to me since I've been going through it for the last 3 years...that SOB should be (I'd better not say). : )
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Here ya go, I'll help ya... From Aunt Em in the Wizard of Oz, just replace "Almira Gulch" with the "George W. Bush" and "county" with "country"

    "Auntie Em Gale: Almira Gulch. Just because you own half the county doesn't mean that you have the power to run the rest of us. For twenty-three years I've been dying to tell you what I thought of you! And now... well, being a Christian woman, I can't say it! "

    revised:

    "Auntie Em Gale: GEORGE W. BUSH. Just because you own half the COUNTRY doesn't mean that you have the power to run the rest of us. For twenty-three years I've been dying to tell you what I thought of you! And now... well, being a Christian woman, I can't say it! "
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    When Krugman talks, people should listen. He is one of those people I'd most like to have dinner with, and just hear his thoughts on everything. That man has a HUGE brain!
  • EmGD · 1 year ago
    Thanks for crapping in my cornflakes Paul, I had finally started taking my meals on top of the table, sitting down instead of under the table in the fetal position. Now I'm back under again.

    http://thesebastards.blogspot.com/
  • ivyfree · 1 year ago
    They're hoping things will get worse and then they can blame Obama for it. "You see? THey elect Obama and things go to hell!" We need to refer to this as the Republican Depression, so those words are permanently linked together.
  • Older_Wiser · 1 year ago
    My son said as much before the election, that he would get blamed (he always expects the racism to rear its ugly head). But even the Rethugs couldn't stem the tide of what's going on--after all, they created this stinking pile of crap.
  • cowboyneok · 1 year ago
    Yes, Limbaugh already tried to call this the Obama Recession/ Depression. Doesn't work because we have ONE PRESIDENT at a time, and everyone KNOWS this is the result of EIGHT YEARS of Bu$hco. policies!
  • kladinvt · 1 year ago
    Too late for that. You can't watch the market lose half its value in 13 months and then blame the guy who still won't be in office for another two months.
  • kh7463 · 1 year ago
    It's very scary here in NW IN. If the auto industry dies, the steel mills will have even less to produce, putting not only the nearby Ford plant out of business, but the mills will be laying off as well. My company just finished our annual United Way campaign. We normally raise in the $20,000-$25,000 range, this year it was a little over $15,000. In talking with our UW rep, I find that we are not the only ones with less donations. The casino's in the area - usually raising upwards of $100,000 each in their campaigns, are really hit hard. One has laid off 200 people, one has only raised $80,000 and another isn't having a campaign at all.

    United Way is the clearing house of the agencies that a lot of these laid off people will need soon. This, layoffs, on top of massive flooding in September and this economy as it is, will be a death knell for this area.
  • anarchy · 1 year ago
    once upon a time
    you dressed so fine
    threw the bums a dime
    baby in your prime
    now didn't you?

    people called to say beware
    you're bound to fall
    you thought they all were
    kidding you!

    you used to laugh about
    everybody that was hangin' out
    but now you don't talk so loud
    now you don't act so proud
    to be scrounging around
    for your last meal.

    how does it feel?
  • macrumpton · 1 year ago
    Everyone talks about the car companies failing like they will evaporate, but unless I am mistaken they will probably be absorbed by other companies and after an adjustment life will go on. What Obama needs to do is create a contingency plan for GM's bankruptcy to get those factories rolling if things go south (with or without the bailout).