DISQUS

AMERICAblog: New states polls: "Obama is clearly winning the Big Ten battleground"

  • Deacon_Blues · 1 year ago
    While this is great news, we CANNOT be complacent; they may try to steal it, but it'll be a lot harder to do with a double-digit lead. Keep working!
  • spiritu · 1 year ago
    What's with the scare quotes around "Big Ten"? It's the Big Ten. No scare quotes needed. See, e.g., http://www.bigten.org.
  • Jeremy_in_Denver · 1 year ago
    Yeah. 10 point leads in the polls mean squat if you don't go out and vote. if 55 people say they're going to go vote for Obama and 45 say they're going to go vote for McCain, and then on election day _11_ obama supporters stay home (and no McCain supporters do), then McCain wins by 1 vote. Don't forget that.
  • Rob Mule · 1 year ago
    Last in polls, last in money and last in the hearts of his countrymen...
  • Patrick_Bateman · 1 year ago
    Sen. Obama has my state wrapped up as the Dems historically kick butt in my state. For once, just once, I will be voting for the Green Party candidate. Their platform speaks to me as no other, as well as Ralph is no longer affiliated.
  • High Crimes & Misdemeanors · 1 year ago
    What???? Are you kidding me??? Every votes is needed. Why are you doing this?? While i share you setiment with some of the ideologies on the 3rd party. The election process is set up for only a 2 party system. They have set it up to have a spoiler detract from the party. don't fall for the trap. We need your vote for Obama. Please reconsider.
  • Patrick_Bateman · 1 year ago
    I doubt Cynthia Mckinney would consider herself a detracting spoiler. How many folks even know Ms. Mckinney is running, let alone what their platform is? I reside in Illinois, Obama will have nigh a worry here. I am just saying for once, I want to feel totally at ease with my choice for President. I want to vote FOR an idea, not against one.
  • aquarius2 · 1 year ago
    Colorado's early voting stats per KUSA TV:

    According to early voting statistics posted by Colorado's Secretary of State on Tuesday, 96,104 mail-in ballots were returned by Democrats. Republicans turned in 99,306. When looking at the number of voters who showed up at early voting centers, 9,173 were Democrats and 6,309 were Republicans.

    Just looking at these early numbers makes me skittish about poll numbers. Here is real statistical data and it is almost a wash at this point, not reflecting what the polls are stating. Pollster.com has Obama up by 5 points and i am not seeing that based on early voting numbers.
  • Older_Wiser · 1 year ago
    At any rate, Amendment 48 should be defeated. How dare they?
  • aquarius2 · 1 year ago
    There are so many amendments to the ballot this year that I am afraid they are going to be ignored or not read fully by the voting public. Defining a person is not something, IMHO, that should be on this ballot but this is Colorado. The voters banned smoking but approved marijuana use, now figure out that one! You never know what these people will do.
  • osage · 1 year ago
    Compared to the overall electorate, permanent mail ballot registrants are more likely to be Republican, are older, and include more white non-Hispanics and homeowners. In other words, older white upper-class voters. The key number is the voters who showed up to vote early, which is a more accurate reflection of voter enthusiasm and turnout. The fact that a significantly higher percentage of Democrats were eager to vote early indicates the same will hold true on November 4th. Frankly, I believe that a disproportionately high percentage of Republicans are simply going to stay home rather than vote for a McCain/Palin ticket. McCain is a plurality default candidate that too many Republicans weren't that enthusiastic about in the first place.
  • Mum48 · 1 year ago
    I was starting a reply to Aquarius2 and realized I was going to say essentially the same thing as osage. I think you're right, osage. I think the early vote numbers are probably a much better indicator of how the vote is going to go.
  • Patrick_Bateman · 1 year ago
    What is baffling? That McCain and Pain even register on ANY poll. How many unwashed masses are there really? How many vote against their best interest due to abject misplaced fear?
  • Older_Wiser · 1 year ago
    Biden at UNC-Charlotte, looks like a pretty good crowd. Just hope he doesn't put foot in mouth...

    I should be over this cold next week and intend to go vote early (for Obama, natch). In NC, you can't vote on Sunday, and for some reason, even though NC law said early voting from 10/16, this county didn't open the site in this area until 10/20.
  • Indigo · 1 year ago
    Go Big Ten! (no air quotes!)
  • triple7s · 1 year ago
    WOW! JUST WOW!
  • osage · 1 year ago
    Based on the new lead in Indiana, I've got Obama with a final electoral vote count of 378 to McCain's 160. Millions of Republicans are going to stay home on November 4th. 60+ Democratic Senate seats is looking more realistic every day.
  • naschkatzehussein · 1 year ago
    My husband and I are originally from Indiana and are graduates of I.U., but I just can't see Indiana in the Obama column to the tune of 10 pts. No other poll bears this out. The others I agree with, and I do hope Obama wins Indiana, but I don't count on it. If he does win there, it will be very, very close, and the Republicans are going to play dirty in Northwest Indiana where the Democratic vote is.
  • osage · 1 year ago
    I'll be happy if Obama takes Indiana by 1 point. I have the sense that the entire country has tilted toward Obama and that every state he's either been ahead in or closely behind in will ultimately go his way. While I certainly think that voter demographics and enthusiam bode well for Obama, I think what is very much being underestimated is the lack of enthusiasm of Republicans and conservative Independents for McCain/Palin. Because McCain is a plurality default candidate that many Republicans have never been enthusiastic about, and because his and Palin's unfavorable polling numbers have consistently increased over the course of the campaign, it's my belief that millions of Republicans and Independents are simply going to stay home rather than vote for someone whose chances of winning are dwindling by the day. Recall how upset Michigan Republicans were when the McCain campaign annouced they were pulling out of Michigan. Michigan's Democratic polling numbers went up appreciably. Many Michigan Republicans felt betrayed. I think by the time November 4th arrives, a great many Republicans are going to be so demoralized they'll find it hard to vote at all. I think Indiana is just one of the states that will happen in.
  • Mum48 · 1 year ago
    You are so right.
  • naschkatzehussein · 1 year ago
    I take it back. RCP only shows McCain with a 0.6 composite lead now! Boy do I have my fingers crossed that Indiana flips.
  • Mum48 · 1 year ago
    Don't take this "new lead in Indiana" as a given. Campaign workers in Indiana certainly aren't. Even in the very blue corner of Indiana that I inhabit, we are working our fannies off to get out the vote. We just won the battle for three satellite early voting stations in our county because even here the Republicans are trying with all their might to hinder voting. With the possible exception of Illinois, I don't think there any places where we can let up. Let's not count those chickens yet.
  • naschkatzehussein · 1 year ago
    My prayers are with you. We're from Gary originally.
  • Wh0Cares · 1 year ago
    Does anyone have any foresight on Obama's intentions for rolling back all the police state legislation enacted during Bush's regime?
  • Mum48 · 1 year ago
    I don't know if you would call it foresight, but Obama has clearly stated that he and his attorney general will look at the executive orders that Bush issued and rescind those that are unconstitutional (which, from my reading of them, is probably most of them). He has also indicated that his attorney general would look at the Bush administration in general for prosecutable illegal activities. I'm certain that he would also look at the excesses of the Homeland Security Department. And, let's not forget that, with more Democratic senators and reps bringing more support, legislators such as Waxman, Conyers, Feingold, Dodd, Dorgan, Schakowsky, Leahy, Durbin, Wexler, Kennedy, Brown, Whitehouse, Boxer, etc., will have the ability to go back to some of the legislation and make some adjustments.
  • luvboxer · 1 year ago
    I want to scream for the joy of it..but not yet. We have one more week to go...and God only knows what the republican party will try....I AM SO HAPPY FOR OBAMA I BELIEVE HE WILL BE A GREAT PRESIDENT...PLEASE KEEP HIM SAFE...

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08..LET'S GO DEMS PARTY TIME..
  • vkobaya · 1 year ago
    McCain says Obama will 'say anything' to win
    By GLEN JOHNSON (Associated Press Writer)
    From Associated Press
    October 23, 2008 8:49 AM EST

    ORMOND BEACH, Fla. - Republican John McCain, kicking off a cross-state bus tour aimed at keeping vote-rich Florida from swinging to the Democrats, on Thursday accused rival Barack Obama of saying "anything to get elected."


    Maybe McCain is actually the world's funniest comedian and he intends to save the world by making us laugh.
  • red_dwarf · 1 year ago
    Nice to see Illinois is behind their home boy 2:1 whereas the bible banging fruitcakes of TN went for Bush over Gore. What a contrast. No wonder the South lost the Civil War.
  • EmGD · 1 year ago
    How reliable is this polling group historically? Some of them match up to other polls, but then some of them are way off what other polls have said, namely Indiana.

    http://thesebastards.blogspot.com/
  • DougStamate · 1 year ago
    As a Hoosier I wonder a bit about the lead for Sen. Obama in Indiana. There is a large group of die-hard, traditionalist-Republican voters here and I find it very hard to believe that they are switching to Sen. Obama.
    However, since the polls consisted of both registered and "likely"voters, it is possible that, upon being contacted, these Republicans simply stated that they weren't planning on voting. If that is the case, and they do stay home on election day, then that 10-point lead for Sen. Obama is quite possibly accurate.
    Personally, as long as Sen. Obama carries the state, I don't really care what the margin is (although, I have always heard "bigger is better").