DISQUS

AMERICAblog: Obama ahead in three national polls, but McCain is up a few points -- in South Carolina

  • unrepentant_expat · 1 year ago
    " McCain's lap dog Lindsey Graham must be in a tizzy over this poll."

    Quick, get the smelling salts. Lindsey"s been overcome with a fit of the vapours.
  • moreleesafer · 1 year ago
    clutching the pearls and crying........
  • Dave of the Jungle · 1 year ago
    Looks like non idiots are taking over the country.

    Call out the National Guard.
  • greenleegazette · 1 year ago
    Every time I see the results of one of these polls, I wonder, "how was this weighted?" Are they 50/50 Democrat/Republican likely voters? Because if the imbalance between Democrats and Republicans during the primaries holds in the fall, it won't matter how close the polls look right now.

    If massively more Democrats turn out than Republicans, won't a near 50/50 split in a poll be irrelevant? Or does it just become conventionial wisdom, and therefore easier to steal? Polls give me a headache. . .
  • jr · 1 year ago
    Lindsey Graham will have to cruise the stalls to cope with this
  • moreleesafer · 1 year ago
    The only way to dull the pain of seeing a nigrah in the white house is to cruise the stalls at the local Sears or hook up with someone on Craigslist. You'd be surprised by the number of psychological traumas that can be eased by receiving a reach around.
  • ahaque · 1 year ago
    With winner take all in presidential polls, Obama should focus on winning and marginal states and not waste time on Florida, South Carolina and such states where he is way behind.
  • hawkseye · 1 year ago
    Agree with you, Joe, it's the state polls that really matter. And preferably of "likely voters".

    Obama is way ahead in new California Field Poll. By about 20 points.
  • Webster · 1 year ago
    I'm sorry, but even the "fact" that McSame is anywhere close to Obama baffles me. Who are they calling--everyone on Rove's mailing list?

    With a President and party like Boosh and the Republicans so thoroughly despised everywhere I look, and with everyone I meet (even my stepmother who hasn't got the brains God gave a brussel sprout) hating Bush and his party, I can't help but think the pollers are in cahoots with the CorporateMSM to force McCain into office.

    There is no other explanation that I can see.
  • mangoes · 1 year ago
    I LIVE IN SOUTH CAROLINA. I went to see Barack twice during the race for the primary. HUGE turnouts. LOTS of excitement. There are so many Democrats who have been sleeping for years because they knew that their votes were futile in this state. I have registered one so far and am looking for others.

    Here, poverty is in plain sight. Many, many factories and textile plants have closed in the last 15 years. Schools suck - we thank God for Alabama so that we are not last. The main factor that has kept SC red, is the Baptist Convention. People vote for who their preachers tell them to vote for. Literally. Then they go home and drink their Sunday beer that they bought on Saturday and watch the nascar race.

    I am from the NY area, born and raised in CT, and I am constantly amazed at how nobody here seems to follow any news that occurs farther away than their favorite SC College football team. When 911 happened, it was like it happened in another country. Those were very hard days for me.
  • Joneses · 1 year ago
    He needs a fairly large lead in the national polls because I get the sick feeling that if the margin is close, the GOP will cheat again and steal the elections, again.
  • vkobaya · 1 year ago
    No, he needs a massively large lead (landslide) to overcome certain Republican advantages, that is use of election fraud, such is disenfranchising Blacks, Hispanics, Jews and other minorities that tend to be Democratic, electronic voting fraud and discarding votes from Democratic districts, and the other advantage Republicans have is the Bradley effect, that is, the tendency of whites to lie to pollsters about their intent to vote for a Black candidate. I looked up the Bradley effect and seems to be on the order of 5% or more depending on the state, but I've never seen a guess of Republican election fraud which I'd guess is perhaps as large, given the large number of voting fraud techniques available and previously used by the Republicans. Combined, my guess is that Obama will lose as much as 10% of the numbers that showed on the polls. Thus, Obama is likely to loose everywhere but states like California where he has massive Democratic registered base.
  • theexog · 1 year ago
    I am mystified why no one (almost no one) is remarking on the fact that all these polls are based on calls to land lines. None of my children and a lot of my friends my age only use cell phones, and assuming that Obama has lots of support among young people I believe their opinions are being ignored. I'll bet come the election hordes of cellphone wielding young people come to the polls and all the "experts" will be flummoxed. At least I hope...
  • castellan · 1 year ago
    I live in Greenville, SC. Here, there's still a very strong sentiment in favor of McCain. I'm working at what I would say is a fairly "progressive" workplace and still folks talk in pro-Republican terms.

    Still, there are a fair number of yellow ribbons on trees in various yards, here. Elsewhere, many cars have begun to sport bumper stickers that are pro-Obama, anti-Republican, and specifically anti-Bush. It's a more than welcome sight, I can tell you.

    When I went to see Fahrenheit-911 in a local movie theater several years ago, I ordered with a whisper and "snuck" into a noon showing. Inside, there were a surprising number of people waiting eagerly to view the film. Every time someone entered the theater -- EVERY time -- everyone held their breath in fear of a Republican attack. But now, I think there's a change in the sentiment. Although many people here still talk pro-Republican, I wonder how many of them are like me and have just learned to deflect questions in order to avoid giving my Democratic status away.

    Times are changing, and it feels good.
  • mangoes · 1 year ago
    Hey Greenville! Spartanburg here. I remember very clearly the day I went to a cinema to see Fahrenheit-911. My mom came with a group of us b/c she was afraid to go alone, figuring there would be people protesting outside. It was an afternoon showing and it was PACKED! We were pleasantly surprised by that. Also, I once put a bumper sticker on my car "if you're still supporting bush, you're not paying attention", and I caught alot of flack from truck drivers etc, here at work. I still have a NO W, Worst ever sticker that's starting to crack and peel.

    I have written letters to the editor of Herald Journal and gotten actual mail from people I don't know supporting me. Also, some negative comments in the Stroller from neighbors. Taking a stand, no matter how small, here, is really taking a risk.

    I would SO LOVE to do some highway blogging on these interstate bridges.

    Keep up the good fight!
  • Soundboy_jeff_meanie · 1 year ago
    so... the question is... should we start contributing to bob barr in swing states?

    the republicans did it in the Democratic primary in a few states... why not?

    if bob barr got 20% of Texas... it wouldn't come from Obama.
  • naschkatzehussein · 1 year ago
    I was especially interested in the ABC/WaPo poll that Obama is 19% ahead of McCain on the economy. He needs to seize the initiative and make that the number one issue because it isn't going away very soon.
  • ivyfree · 1 year ago
    And yesterday's headline on AOL was "Poll shows Obama in trouble." I didn't read the thing, because I knew it was crap.